arXiv:2503.06917v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study zeroth-order optimization where solutions must minimize a cost $d(s)$ while maintaining high probability under a complex generative prior $L(s)$ (e.g., a parameterized model). This reduces to sampling from a target distribution proportional to $L(s) e^{-T \cdot d(s)}$. Since classical model-based optimization (MBO) lacks finite-sample guarantees for expressive approximate learners, we introduce "coarse learnability", a flexible statistical assumption requiring only that a learned model covers the target's probability mass within a polynomial factor. Leveraging this assumption, we design an iterative MBO algorithm called \alift with a sample correction step that provably approximates the target using only a polynomial number of samples. We apply this framework to globally optimizing non-convex objectives bounded by a quadratic envelope in $R^n$, where we show this assumption is naturally satisfied for a family of "optimistic" posterior distributions. To reach global $\varepsilon$-optimality, this implies a sample complexity of $\widetilde{O}(\log 1/\varepsilon)$, a rate characteristic of optimistic space-partitioning methods. We further justify coarse learnability as an assumption for generative priors theoretically, proving that in simple settings, parametric maximum likelihood estimation and over-smoothed kernel density estimators naturally satisfy it. Finally, one motivation for our framework comes from inference-time alignment. Though our primary contribution pertains to the theoretical foundations of MBO, we provide qualitative evidence that, in simple settings, even primitive LLMs can shift their distributions toward lower-cost regions when fine-tuned with zeroth-order feedback.